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Research article:

Can analyses of electronic patient records be independently and externally validated? Study 2: the Effect of Beta-Adrenoceptor Blocker Therapy on Cancer Survival; a Retrospective Cohort Study

Reference:

David a Springate, Darren M Ashcroft, Evangelos Kontopantelis, Tim Doran, Ronan Ryan, David Reeves(2015) Can analyses of electronic patient records be independently and externally validated? Study 2: the Effect of Beta-Adrenoceptor Blocker Therapy on Cancer Survival; a Retrospective Cohort Study. BMJ Open, doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2014-007299

Link to fulltext article
Abstract
Objectives To conduct a fully independent and external validation of a research study based on one electronic health record database, using a different database sampling the same population. Design Retrospective cohort analysis of beta-blocker therapy and all-cause mortality in cancer patients. Setting Two UK national primary care databases (PCDs): the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) and Doctors’ Independent Network (DIN). Participants CPRD data for 11302 cancer patients compared to published results from DIN for 3462 patients. Study period January 1997 to December 2006. Primary and secondary outcome measures All-cause mortality: overall; by treatment subgroup (betablockers only, beta-blockers plus other blood pressure lowering medicines (BPLM), other BPLMs only); and by cancer-site. Results Using CPRD, beta-blocker use was not associated with mortality (HR=1.03, 95%CI 0.93-1.14, vs patients prescribed other BPLMs only), but in DIN beta-blocker users had significantly higher mortality (HR=1.18, 95%CI 1.04 to 1.33). However, these hazard ratios were not statistically different (p=0.063), but did differ for patients on beta-blockers alone (CPRD=0.94, 95%CI 0.82-1.07; DIN=1.37, 95%CI 1.16-1.61; p<0.001). Results for nine individual cancer sites differed by study, but only significantly for prostate and pancreas cancers. Results were robust under sensitivity analyses, but we could not be certain that mortality was identically defined in both databases. Conclusions We found a complex pattern of similarities and differences between databases. Our finding that overall treatment effect estimates were not statistically different, adds to a growing body of evidence that different UK PCDs produce effect estimates comparable within statistical tolerance. However, some subgroup effects differed significantly and individually the two studies lead to different conclusions regarding the safety of beta-blockers for cancer patients. Single studies based on internally well-validated databases therefore do not guarantee generalisable results, especially for subgroups. In all cases, confirmatory studies using at least one other independent data source are strongly recommended.
Author for correspondence
David Reeves
Email for correspondence
david.reeves@manchester.ac.uk

Code list: res24: colon cancer

20 codes in list

Code Coding system Description Entity type List name
B13..00 Read Malig neop of colon diagnostic res24: colon cancer
B130.00 Read Malig neop hepatic flex colon diagnostic res24: colon cancer
B131.00 Read Malig neop of transverse colon diagnostic res24: colon cancer
B132.00 Read Malig neop of descending colon diagnostic res24: colon cancer
B133.00 Read Malig neop of sigmoid colon diagnostic res24: colon cancer
B134.00 Read Malig neop of caecum diagnostic res24: colon cancer
B135.00 Read Malig neop of appendix diagnostic res24: colon cancer
B136.00 Read Malig neop of ascending colon diagnostic res24: colon cancer
B137.00 Read Malig neop splenic flex colon diagnostic res24: colon cancer
B138.00 Read Mal neop overlap lesn of colon diagnostic res24: colon cancer
B13y.00 Read Malig neop oth spec site colon diagnostic res24: colon cancer
B13z.00 Read Malig neop of colon NOS diagnostic res24: colon cancer
B14..00 Read Malig neop of rectum and anus diagnostic res24: colon cancer
B140.00 Read Malig neop rectosigmoid junct diagnostic res24: colon cancer
B141.00 Read Malig neop of rectum diagnostic res24: colon cancer
B142.00 Read Malig neop of anal canal diagnostic res24: colon cancer
B142000 Read Mal neopl of cloacogenic zone diagnostic res24: colon cancer
B143.00 Read Malig neop of anus unspecified diagnostic res24: colon cancer
B14y.00 Read Malig neop oth rectum and anus diagnostic res24: colon cancer
B14z.00 Read Malig neop rectum and anus NOS diagnostic res24: colon cancer

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