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Research article:

Glucose, blood pressure and cholesterol levels and their relationships to clinical outcomes in type 2 diabetes: a retrospective cohort study

Reference:

Evangelos Kontopantelis, David A Springate, David Reeves, Darren M Ashcroft, Martin Rutter, Iain Buchan, Tim Doran(2015) Glucose, blood pressure and cholesterol levels and their relationships to clinical outcomes in type 2 diabetes: a retrospective cohort study. Diabetologia, doi: 10.1007/s00125-014-3473-8

Link to fulltext article
Abstract
Background: Observational data have been used to inform target levels for modifiable risk factors in type 2 diabetes but these data are limited by confounding. We aimed to describe the shape of observed relationships between risk factor levels and clinically important outcomes in type 2 diabetes after adjusting for multiple confounders. Methods: We used retrospective longitudinal data on 246,544 adults with type 2 diabetes from 600 practices contributing to the Clinical Practice Research Datalink between 2006 and 2012. Proportional hazards regression models quantified the risks of mortality, microvascular or macrovascular events associated with four modifiable risk factors: glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c), systolic and diastolic blood pressure and total cholesterol, while controlling for numerous patient and practice covariates. Findings: U-shaped relationships were observed between all-cause mortality and levels of the four risk factors. The lowest risks were associated with HbA1c 7.25-7.75%; total cholesterol 3.5-4.5 mmol/L; systolic blood pressure 135-145 mmHg; and diastolic blood pressure 82.5-87.5 mmHg. coronary and stroke mortality related to the four risk factors in a positive, curvilinear way, with the exception of blood pressure which related to coronary deaths in a U-shape. Macrovascular events showed a positive and curvilinear relationship with HbA1c but U-shaped for total cholesterol and systolic blood pressure. Microvascular related to the four risk factors in a curvilinear way: positive for HbA1c and systolic blood pressure but negative for cholesterol and diastolic blood pressure. Interpretation: We identified several relationships which, when considered in the light of relevant trial data, support a call for major changes to clinical practice. Most importantly, our results support trial data indicating that normalisation of glucose and blood pressure can lead to poorer outcomes, which makes a strong case for target ranges for these risk factors rather than target levels.
Author for correspondence
Evangelos Kontopantelis
Email for correspondence
E.Kontopantelis@manchester.ac.uk

Code list: HbA1C_testing

23 codes in list

Code Coding system Description Entity type List name
42c..00 Read HbA1 - diabetic control test HbA1C_testing
42c0.00 Read HbA1 < 7% - good control test HbA1C_testing
42c1.00 Read HbA1 7 - 10% - borderline control test HbA1C_testing
42c2.00 Read HbA1 > 10% - bad control test HbA1C_testing
42c3.00 Read HbA1 level (DCCT aligned) test HbA1C_testing
42W..00 Read Hb. A1C - diabetic control test HbA1C_testing
42W1.00 Read Hb. A1C < 7% - good control test HbA1C_testing
42W..11 Read Glycosylated Hb test HbA1C_testing
42W..12 Read Glycated haemoglobin test HbA1C_testing
42W2.00 Read Hb. A1C 7-10% - borderline test HbA1C_testing
42W3.00 Read Hb. A1C > 10% - bad control test HbA1C_testing
42W4.00 Read HbA1c level (DCCT aligned) test HbA1C_testing
44TB.00 Read Haemoglobin A1c level test HbA1C_testing
44TC.00 Read Haemoglobin A1 level test HbA1C_testing
44TD.00 Read Fructosamine level test HbA1C_testing
44TL.00 Read Total glycosylated haemoglobin level test HbA1C_testing
44Z1.00 Read Serum fructosamine test HbA1C_testing
44Z1000 Read Corrected fructosamine test HbA1C_testing
2718PA OXMIS FRUCTOSAMINE test HbA1C_testing
L2859G OXMIS Hb A1C (GLYCOSYLATED HAEMOGLOBIN TEST) test HbA1C_testing
L2859GA OXMIS Hb A1C NORMAL (GLYCOSYLATED HAEMOGLOBIN test HbA1C_testing
L2859GB OXMIS Hb A1C HIGH (GLYCOSYLATED HAEMOGLOBIN TE test HbA1C_testing
L9027F OXMIS SERUM FRUCTOSAMINE LEVEL test HbA1C_testing

1 comment has been posted.

Jan. 27, 2014, 7:10 a.m. - David Springate

QOF indicators DM 5, Dm 6, DM 7

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